← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $200.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$200.0k
BUY Yes @ 57¢ · 352,423 shares
Size ≥ $100kLate (<1h before start)2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet thegreatjeff took Yes (buy) for $200.0k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $200.0k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−131American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 57¢
- Implied odds
- 56.8%
- As American odds
- −131 no vig
- Size
- $200.0k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 20:50 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- thegreatjeff
- Tx
- 0x9f00b4ea…
This wallet's graded record
5/11-14.2 pts
expected 6.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -57 ptsYes price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | MED SELL No @ 93.4¢ | $96.7k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 22¢ | $24.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 71¢ | $14.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY No @ 75¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 58¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | LOW SELL Yes @ 41¢ | $37.1k | excluded |