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What this means. A wallet put $115.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$115.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ · 115,543 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite4 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)4.1× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965 took Yes (buy) for $115.0k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $115.0k+2
Near-certain price-2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $115.0k
- Placed
- Feb 02, 20:10 EST
- Market close
- Jan 30, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965
- Tx
- 0x9ebf2cfb…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.0 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.8k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded |