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What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on not Mexico, at a price that gave it a 69% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.5k
SELL Mexico @ 31¢ · 62,915 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x20d6…3856 took Mexico (sell) for $19.5k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 69% chance for that side. The market resolved England. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 69.0%
- As American odds
- −223 no vig
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Jul 05, 21:51 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 05, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x20d6…3856
- Tx
- 0x9db973de…
This wallet's graded record
3/5-7.7 pts
expected 3.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $23.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $14.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $15.1k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $39.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $22.2k | excluded |