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What this means. A wallet put $19.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded
$19.0k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 19,093 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0xa569…96ec took No (sell) for $19.0k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.6¢
Implied odds
0.4%
Size
$19.0k
Placed
Dec 24, 09:01 EST
Market close
Dec 31, 18:55 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xa569…96ec
Tx
0x9cf9faad…
This wallet's graded record
3/3+4.3 pts
expected 2.9 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
No price · entry 99.6¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.6¢ · $19.0k WHALE $19.0K @ 99.6¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.6k100% rwo296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.8k0% onekey09296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $59.9k0% 0x7441…5ed5296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% jwp9999296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $64.9k0% 0xf120…9321296d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $118.0k0% 0x5e91…1717297d agoexcluded