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What this means. A wallet put $27.4k on Bilibili Gaming, at a price that gave it a 38% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.4k
BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 38¢ · 72,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet sulumos took Bilibili Gaming (buy) for $27.4k at an average 38¢. At that price the market implied a 38% chance for that side. The market resolved Top Esports. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 38¢ means
38%chance the market gave
+163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bilibili Gaming wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 38¢
- Implied odds
- 38.0%
- As American odds
- +163 no vig
- Size
- $27.4k
- Placed
- Aug 07, 09:32 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 07, 08:30 EDT
- Result
- Top Esports
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- sulumos
- Tx
- 0x9bc216ee…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-19.0 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -38 ptsBilibili Gaming price · entry 38¢ · resolved Top Esports
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ | $17.3k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Top Esports @ 99.9¢ | $832.8k 5.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Top Esports @ 98¢ | $17.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 41¢ | $15.9k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Top Esports @ 63¢ | $386.2k 2.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Top Esports @ 61¢ | $19.7k | excluded |