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Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed
What this means. A wallet put $25.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Xi Jinping out in 2025?missed$25.5k
SELL No @ 92¢ · 27,676 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x578d…fbb3 took No (sell) for $25.5k at an average 92¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $25.5k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92¢
- Implied odds
- 8.0%
- Size
- $25.5k
- Placed
- Sep 21, 16:26 EDT
- Market close
- Dec 31, 18:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x578d…fbb3
- Tx
- 0x99bdabb6…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $64.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $118.0k | excluded |