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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 88% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-6.8 pts over 38 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$10.1k
SELL Yes @ 12¢ · 80,519 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xf559…f462 took Yes (sell) for $10.1k at an average 12¢. At that price the market implied a 88% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
12¢
Implied odds
87.5%
As American odds
−700 no vig
Size
$10.1k
Placed
Jun 21, 08:44 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xf559…f462
Tx
0x991ddeb6…
This wallet's graded record
20/38-6.8 pts
expected 22.6 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $67.3k0% mrhod NEW101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $55.7k100% HorribleWork101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $31.6k0% 0xbba2…24fe101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $70.7k
2.3× usual
100% perroperro101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $90.2k
3.3× usual
100% coali10101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $11.6k98% mooseborzoi LOSING101d agoexcluded