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What this means. A wallet put $13.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 8% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.8k
SELL No @ 92.1¢ · 15,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (sell) for $13.8k at an average 92.1¢. At that price the market implied a 8% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $13.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 92.1¢
- Implied odds
- 7.9%
- As American odds
- +1166 no vig
- Size
- $13.8k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 03:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:12 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0x98dfd3bf…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $13.3k | excluded |