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What this means. A wallet put $28.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$28.3k
BUY No @ 94.2¢ · 30,018 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet wco26 took No (buy) for $28.3k at an average 94.2¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $28.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1624American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94.2¢
Implied odds
94.2%
As American odds
−1624 no vig
Size
$28.3k
Placed
Jul 07, 16:57 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wco26
Tx
0x97b1386f…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+0.4 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +6 pts
No price · entry 94.2¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94.2¢ · $28.3k WHALE $28.3K @ 94.2¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $150.3k
4.4× usual
0% jinwujinshu105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k
2.0× usual
0% 1922105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.8k
2.1× usual
0% redbaron23105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $21.2k0% rodrigr28105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $22.0k0% 0x4e8b…05bd105d agoexcluded
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $90.0k99% 0xe690…e257 NEW105d agoexcluded