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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Buccaneers, at a price that gave it a 44% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Steelers vs. Buccaneersmissed
$10.0k
BUY Buccaneers @ 44¢ · 22,832 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet gmpm2 took Buccaneers (buy) for $10.0k at an average 44¢. At that price the market implied a 44% chance for that side. The market resolved Steelers, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 44¢ means
44%chance the market gave
+127American odds
$1.00paid per share if Buccaneers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
44¢
Implied odds
44.0%
As American odds
+127 no vig
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Oct 18, 10:33 EDT
Market close
Oct 18, 13:00 EDT
Result
Steelers
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
gmpm2
Tx
0x978e43f2…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-6.9 pts
expected 10.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -44 pts
Buccaneers price · entry 44¢ · resolved Steelers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 44¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 44¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW SELL Steelers @ 99.9¢ $129.8k0% cosmicxbt5d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Steelers @ 83¢ $29.3k83% ferrariChampions20265d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW SELL Steelers @ 85¢ $17.0k15% sbimbg5d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BuccaneersMED BUY Steelers @ 88¢ $114.4k88% cosmicxbt5d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Steelers @ 55¢ $11.0k55% sbimbg5d agoexcluded
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW SELL Buccaneers @ 45¢ $11.3k55% surfandturf LOSING5d agoexcluded