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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Missed
$32.1k

Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5

ArielFilipino bought Over at 55¢. The price gave that side a 55% chance. 58,764 shares, Oct 28, 14:57 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $32.1k on Over, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet ArielFilipino bought Over for $32.1k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied 55% for the side they took. The market resolved Under, so this flag missed. It still counts toward the score.

This wallet is 3 of 8 on graded bets, -15.1 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $32.1k+1
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)2.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−121American odds
$1.00paid per share if Over wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -55 pts
Over price · entry 55¢ · resolved Under
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 55¢ · $32.1k WHALE $32.1K @ 55¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Panthers vs. Packers: O/U 46.5LOW BUY Under @ 48¢ $23.2k48% mooseborzoi5h agoExcluded