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What this means. A wallet put $48.5k on NIP, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 17 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$48.5k
BUY NIP @ 55¢ · 88,151 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet gmanas took NIP (buy) for $48.5k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Legacy, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $48.5k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if NIP wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $48.5k
- Placed
- Mar 01, 01:03 EST
- Market close
- Mar 01, 10:45 EST
- Result
- Legacy
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gmanas
- Tx
- 0x95c336d0…
This wallet's graded record
12/17+4.8 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsNIP price · entry 55¢ · resolved Legacy
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Legacy @ 99.9¢ | $11.2k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Legacy @ 44¢ | $30.5k | called | |
| LOW BUY NIP @ 56¢ | $16.1k | missed |