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What this means. A wallet put $1.59M on Yes, at a price that gave it a 70% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$1.59M
BUY Yes @ 70¢ · 2,284,206 shares in 18 fills
Size ≥ $250k18 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet joseph00677 took Yes (buy) for $1.59M at an average 70¢. At that price the market implied a 70% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $1.59M+3
18 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 70¢ means
70%chance the market gave
−230American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 70¢
- Implied odds
- 69.7%
- As American odds
- −230 no vig
- Size
- $1.59M
- Placed
- Oct 15, 10:47 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 12:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- joseph00677
- Tx
- 0x94b2fc47…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-59.2 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +30 ptsYes price · entry 70¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.28M | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | MED BUY No @ 31¢ | $37.4k | missed |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $11.2k | missed |