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What this means. A wallet put $2.28M on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$2.28M
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 2,285,623 shares
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet joseph00677 took Yes (sell) for $2.28M at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $2.28M+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $2.28M
- Placed
- Oct 15, 14:37 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 12:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- joseph00677
- Tx
- 0x381c4423…
This wallet's graded record
0/2-59.2 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $1.59M | called |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | MED BUY No @ 31¢ | $37.4k | missed |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $11.2k | missed |