WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?called
$15.5k
SELL Yes @ 33¢ · 46,772 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet wan123 took Yes (sell) for $15.5k at an average 33¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $15.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
33¢
Implied odds
66.9%
Size
$15.5k
Placed
May 25, 17:35 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
wan123
Tx
0x949cde20…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +33 pts
Yes price · entry 33¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 33¢ · $15.5k WHALE $15.5K @ 33¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 0x9561…5497145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.8k0% madril145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $11.9k0% Alphax145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $100.1k
4.0× usual
0% strike123145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% Thaws145d agoexcluded
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $16.6k0% Wogg145d agoexcluded