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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Yes @ 98¢ · 12,245 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet LulaVaiPerder took Yes (buy) for $12.0k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Jul 25, 07:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 25, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LulaVaiPerder
- Tx
- 0x93a6b07f…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.5 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsYes price · entry 98¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.3¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $69.8k | excluded |