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What this means. A wallet put $40.6k on not Frances Tiafoe, at a price that gave it a 41% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.6k
SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 59¢ · 69,157 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Antblack took Frances Tiafoe (sell) for $40.6k at an average 59¢. At that price the market implied a 41% chance for that side. The market resolved Frances Tiafoe. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.6k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 59¢
- Implied odds
- 41.3%
- As American odds
- +142 no vig
- Size
- $40.6k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 17:30 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 14:25 EDT
- Result
- Frances Tiafoe
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Antblack
- Tx
- 0x91ef1b3d…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-38.0 pts
expected 0.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | MED SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $251.5k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $18.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 54¢ | $18.5k | excluded |