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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -38.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-38.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$369.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$514.3k
Last 30 days −$222.8k · $10.01M volume · 573 trades · since Jun 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$44.0k
Open P&L · 32 positions
−$479.5k
Closed-position win rate
50%
188 closed
Wallet age · markets
121d
213 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -38.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau | MED SELL Matteo Martineau @ 77¢ | $40.4k | excluded |
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 38¢ | $10.0k | missed |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx | MED BUY Alexander Blockx @ 37¢ | $62.0k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff | LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 55¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | MED SELL Frances Tiafoe @ 59¢ | $40.6k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW SELL Alex Michelsen @ 64¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Alex Michelsen @ 49¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova | MED SELL Linda Noskova @ 77¢ | $84.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | MED SELL Arthur Gea @ 80¢ | $43.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 58¢ | $17.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW SELL Alexander Blockx @ 99.9¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x9c68e5…