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Polymarket · Politics · one bet

OpenAwaiting resolution
$11.6k

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

UnderperformingForALivin sold No at 66¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 34% chance. 17,520 shares, Oct 29, 23:05 EDT.

Plain exchange link. No referral code.

What this means. A wallet put $11.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet UnderperformingForALivin sold No for $11.6k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied 34% for the side they took. Open: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -5.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $11.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Politics
[04] Price

Price since the bet

Price since this bet

Since entry -0.6 pts
No price · entry 66¢ · now 67¢ · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
62¢68¢73¢ Whale entry 66¢ · $11.6k WHALE $11.6K @ 66¢ -1 PTS
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?MED BUY Yes @ 32¢ $12.1k32% evaak NEW4h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?MED SELL No @ 73¢ $69.1k27% denizz13h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?LOW BUY No @ 77¢ $10.4k77% Bettong17h agoOpenAwaiting resolution
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?MED BUY No @ 70¢ $129.0k70% denizz1d agoOpenAwaiting resolution