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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 66% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.0k
BUY Yes @ 66¢ · 16,678 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Yes (buy) for $11.0k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 66% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.0k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 66¢ means
66%chance the market gave
−194American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 66.0%
- As American odds
- −194 no vig
- Size
- $11.0k
- Placed
- Jun 15, 02:26 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 15, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x8ef84464…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -66 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY No @ 98.6¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $12.1k | excluded |