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Cavaliers vs. Knicksexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $508.3k on not Cavaliers, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Cavaliers vs. Knicksexcluded$508.3k
SELL Cavaliers @ 72¢ · 704,557 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)9.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Katello took Cavaliers (sell) for $508.3k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved Knicks. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $508.3k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 27.9%
- As American odds
- +259 no vig
- Size
- $508.3k
- Placed
- May 19, 22:09 EDT
- Market close
- May 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Knicks
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Katello
- Tx
- 0x8ec3eb92…
This wallet's graded record
2/4+0.8 pts
expected 2.0 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +72 ptsCavaliers price · entry 72¢ · resolved Knicks · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $56.5k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $88.1k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $50.3k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 99.8¢ | $22.0k | excluded |