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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY No @ 94.3¢ · 15,904 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet jackdolphin3232 took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 94.3¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1659American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 94.3¢
- Implied odds
- 94.3%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Mar 06, 17:23 EST
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jackdolphin3232
- Tx
- 0x8da2dc2e…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.7 pts
expected 0.9 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $19.8k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $55.0k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $147.0k 4.9× usual |
excluded |