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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
SELL Yes @ 21¢ · 66,859 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tetrose took Yes (sell) for $14.0k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- May 22, 14:50 EDT
- Market close
- May 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tetrose
- Tx
- 0x8d5ec2c8…
This wallet's graded record
7/14+1.6 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsYes price · entry 21¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.1k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |