← Live flags
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $28.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+11.3 pts over 67 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded$28.1k
BUY No @ 58¢ · 48,398 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took No (buy) for $28.1k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $28.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $28.1k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 13:35 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0x8ceafc37…
This wallet's graded record
39/67+11.3 pts
expected 31.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsNo price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 96.6¢ | $153.3k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |