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Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $153.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded$153.3k
SELL Yes @ 96.6¢ · 158,698 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)7.9× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (sell) for $153.3k at an average 96.6¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $153.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.6¢
- Implied odds
- 3.4%
- As American odds
- +2845 no vig
- Size
- $153.3k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 15:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x65e43bdd…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $17.5k | excluded |