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Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $100.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win on 2026-07-14?excluded$100.2k
SELL No @ 82¢ · 122,450 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x7583…4df2 took No (sell) for $100.2k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $100.2k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 18.1%
- As American odds
- +451 no vig
- Size
- $100.2k
- Placed
- Jul 14, 16:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 14, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x7583…4df2
- Tx
- 0x8c0873a6…
This wallet's graded record
1/3-7.0 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -18 ptsNo price · entry 82¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $46.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW SELL No @ 99.5¢ | $28.7k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $53.8k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 99¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded |