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What this means. A wallet put $38.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.1k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 65,204 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (buy) for $38.1k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $38.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−140American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.4%
- As American odds
- −140 no vig
- Size
- $38.1k
- Placed
- Jul 17, 01:47 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x8b73e6d1…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $43.0k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $26.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $100.3k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $64.7k | excluded |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |