← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
BUY Yes @ 13¢ · 96,151 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet redvinny took Yes (buy) for $12.4k at an average 13¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 13¢ means
13%chance the market gave
+675American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 13¢
- Implied odds
- 12.9%
- As American odds
- +675 no vig
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Jun 17, 18:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- redvinny
- Tx
- 0x8a04da4f…
This wallet's graded record
7/9+10.3 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.3k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $55.7k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $70.7k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $90.2k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $11.6k | excluded |