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What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.4 pts over 52 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.8k
BUY Yes @ 58¢ · 34,074 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet AV23IUa took Yes (buy) for $19.8k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.8k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $19.8k
- Placed
- Jun 28, 22:44 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- AV23IUa
- Tx
- 0x89b8962c…
This wallet's graded record
29/52+0.4 pts
expected 28.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +42 ptsYes price · entry 58¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 96.6¢ | $153.3k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |