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What this means. A wallet put $120.1k on Michigan Wolverines, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesexcluded
$120.1k
BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 90.6¢ · 132,524 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)2.8× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet 0x2a2c…9bc1 took Michigan Wolverines (buy) for $120.1k at an average 90.6¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved Michigan Wolverines. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $120.1k+2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−965American odds
$1.00paid per share if Michigan Wolverines wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
90.6¢
Implied odds
90.6%
As American odds
−965 no vig
Size
$120.1k
Placed
Apr 04, 22:55 EDT
Market close
Apr 04, 00:00 EDT
Result
Michigan Wolverines
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x2a2c…9bc1
Tx
0x87b0dc11…
This wallet's graded record
16/18+21.1 pts
expected 12.2 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% AnonymousPerson202d agoexcluded
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW SELL Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ $92.6k
3.4× usual
0% BABELCONSTEL202d agoexcluded
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ $15.0k100% BunCaCham202d agoexcluded
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 99.9¢ $663.4k
3.3× usual
100% LordofPM202d agoexcluded
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 94¢ $18.7k94% moonlight2020202d agoexcluded
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan WolverinesLOW BUY Michigan Wolverines @ 97¢ $47.4k97% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN202d agoexcluded