← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.3k
BUY Yes @ 5.7¢ · 215,306 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0xfe1c…436c took Yes (buy) for $12.3k at an average 5.7¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 6¢ means
6%chance the market gave
+1654American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 5.7¢
- Implied odds
- 5.7%
- As American odds
- +1654 no vig
- Size
- $12.3k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 10:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 22:36 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xfe1c…436c
- Tx
- 0x875a2ba8…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-1.9 pts
expected 1.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 5.7¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 98¢ | $106.2k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 97.1¢ | $69.7k | excluded |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 95.8¢ | $127.9k 2.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED SELL No @ 95.5¢ | $15.8k | missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH SELL No @ 95.5¢ | $176.1k 3.6× usual |
missed |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 5.9¢ | $139.3k 2.8× usual |
missed |