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What this means. A wallet put $18.4k on not No, at a price that gave it a 16% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.4k
SELL No @ 84¢ · 21,839 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet IronyOfLife took No (sell) for $18.4k at an average 84¢. At that price the market implied a 16% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 84¢
- Implied odds
- 15.8%
- Size
- $18.4k
- Placed
- Jun 02, 10:45 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 14, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- IronyOfLife
- Tx
- 0x87243f35…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-64.6 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $134.1k | excluded |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |