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What this means. A wallet put $58.0k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-10.9 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spurs vs. Thundermissed
$58.0k
BUY Thunder @ 58¢ · 100,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x3dfb…abaf took Thunder (buy) for $58.0k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Spurs, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $58.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
58¢
Implied odds
58.0%
As American odds
−138 no vig
Size
$58.0k
Placed
May 29, 04:32 EDT
Market close
May 30, 20:00 EDT
Result
Spurs
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x3dfb…abaf
Tx
0x86211317…
This wallet's graded record
13/29-10.9 pts
expected 16.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -58 pts
Thunder price · entry 58¢ · resolved Spurs
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 58¢ · $58.0k WHALE $58.0K @ 58¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% 0x82db…26b7146d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% kkookkoo146d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $28.4k0% justhuman.eth146d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99.9¢ $34.2k
2.3× usual
0% Kittie146d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ $27.7k1% haristotle146d agoexcluded
Spurs vs. ThunderLOW SELL Spurs @ 99¢ $12.1k1% blket146d agoexcluded