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What this means. A wallet put $132.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$132.3k
SELL No @ 99.6¢ · 132,828 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)6.7× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet 0x5fbd…fb37 took No (sell) for $132.3k at an average 99.6¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $132.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.6¢
- Implied odds
- 0.4%
- Size
- $132.3k
- Placed
- Jan 15, 11:45 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x5fbd…fb37
- Tx
- 0x8608faeb…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-26.5 pts
expected 3.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |