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What this means. A wallet put $12.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 62% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.6k
BUY Yes @ 62¢ · 20,309 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Politics
What happened
Wallet KiernanMeister took Yes (buy) for $12.6k at an average 62¢. At that price the market implied a 62% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 62¢ means
62%chance the market gave
−163American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 62¢
- Implied odds
- 62.0%
- Size
- $12.6k
- Placed
- May 10, 23:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- KiernanMeister
- Tx
- 0x85f2cea7…
This wallet's graded record
4/5+0.3 pts
expected 4.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $146.5k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.3k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.0k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $45.9k | excluded |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |