← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $33.7k on United States, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-12.6 pts over 29 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.7k
BUY United States @ 52¢ · 64,761 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took United States (buy) for $33.7k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Belgium. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $33.7k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if United States wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $33.7k
- Placed
- Jul 06, 20:05 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Belgium
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ferrariChampions2026
- Tx
- 0x85e2d90c…
This wallet's graded record
14/29-12.6 pts
expected 17.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -52 ptsUnited States price · entry 52¢ · resolved Belgium
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $26.3k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $41.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW SELL Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Belgium @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |