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Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $45.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?excluded$45.1k
SELL Yes @ 45¢ · 100,210 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet aishiwodeweilai took Yes (sell) for $45.1k at an average 45¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $45.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 45¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $45.1k
- Placed
- Jun 29, 14:24 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 29, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- aishiwodeweilai
- Tx
- 0x84d7f409…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+23.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsYes price · entry 45¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 96.6¢ | $153.3k 7.9× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.8k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $48.3k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |