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Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $22.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 12% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.9k
SELL Yes @ 88¢ · 25,984 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (sell) for $22.9k at an average 88¢. At that price the market implied a 12% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $22.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 88¢
- Implied odds
- 12.0%
- As American odds
- +733 no vig
- Size
- $22.9k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 19:18 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0x84a2f0d9…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +88 ptsYes price · entry 88¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.3k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 83¢ | $11.7k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 79¢ | $12.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL No @ 79¢ | $10.1k | excluded |