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What this means. A wallet put $11.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$11.0k
SELL Yes @ 21¢ · 52,177 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet blkmont took Yes (sell) for $11.0k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
21¢
Implied odds
78.9%
As American odds
−375 no vig
Size
$11.0k
Placed
Jul 11, 23:32 EDT
Market close
Jul 15, 20:11 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
blkmont
Tx
0x847f4f6f…
This wallet's graded record
5/9-14.3 pts
expected 6.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +21 pts
Yes price · entry 21¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 21¢ · $11.0k WHALE $11.0K @ 21¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ $67.3k0% mrhod NEW101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $55.7k100% HorribleWork101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $31.6k0% 0xbba2…24fe101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $70.7k
2.3× usual
100% perroperro101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $90.2k
3.3× usual
100% coali10101d agoexcluded
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 98¢ $11.6k98% mooseborzoi LOSING101d agoexcluded