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What this means. A wallet put $10.5k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 28% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.5k
SELL Yes @ 72¢ · 14,514 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet S-Works took Yes (sell) for $10.5k at an average 72¢. At that price the market implied a 28% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 72¢
- Implied odds
- 28.0%
- As American odds
- +257 no vig
- Size
- $10.5k
- Placed
- Mar 02, 09:34 EST
- Market close
- Mar 02, 15:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- S-Works
- Tx
- 0x843d5186…
This wallet's graded record
7/9-2.4 pts
expected 7.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +72 ptsYes price · entry 72¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $100.6k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $181.1k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | LOW BUY No @ 31¢ | $16.9k | excluded |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $17.5k | excluded |