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What this means. A wallet put $48.2k on Egypt, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advanceexcluded
$48.2k
BUY Egypt @ 54¢ · 88,450 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.2× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet SquareBobSpongePants took Egypt (buy) for $48.2k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Argentina. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $48.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−120American odds
$1.00paid per share if Egypt wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
54¢
Implied odds
54.5%
As American odds
−120 no vig
Size
$48.2k
Placed
Jul 07, 13:30 EDT
Market close
Jul 07, 12:00 EDT
Result
Argentina
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
SquareBobSpongePants
Tx
0x84334f18…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.8 pts
expected 1.0 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $147.0k0% dumb6money108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $10.9k0% 0x631a…b631108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $121.5k0% jk120 NEW108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $104.0k
6.5× usual
0% stockpicks108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceLOW SELL Argentina @ 99.9¢ $12.8k0% Ma999108d agoexcluded
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceMED SELL Argentina @ 34¢ $39.4k
2.0× usual
66% suntori LOSING108d agoexcluded