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Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $95.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?excluded$95.1k
SELL Yes @ 60¢ · 158,578 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)6.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet ErmenegildoZegna took Yes (sell) for $95.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $95.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 40.0%
- As American odds
- +150 no vig
- Size
- $95.1k
- Placed
- Jun 21, 20:22 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 21, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ErmenegildoZegna
- Tx
- 0x83a63b4f…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+2.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -40 ptsYes price · entry 60¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | HIGH SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $364.1k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $123.8k | excluded |