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What this means. A wallet put $14.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+1.0 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.0k
BUY No @ 98.6¢ · 14,201 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletCrypto
What happened
Wallet 0x8b4b…541b took No (buy) for $14.0k at an average 98.6¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7043American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.6¢
- Implied odds
- 98.6%
- Size
- $14.0k
- Placed
- Sep 26, 05:06 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 01, 00:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8b4b…541b
- Tx
- 0x8314d816…
This wallet's graded record
18/22+1.0 pts
expected 17.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 98.6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $19.1k | excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $45.1k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW SELL No @ 90.1¢ | $21.5k | missed |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW BUY No @ 95.3¢ | $22.5k | called |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW BUY No @ 94.8¢ | $18.8k | called |