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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +5.2 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+5.2 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$18.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$49
Last 30 days +$0 · $115.2k volume · 108 trades · since Sep 16, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1
Open P&L · 1 positions
−$48
Closed-position win rate
50%
6 closed
Wallet age · markets
403d
7 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | 1 | 1 | 0.9 | +5.2 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | LOW BUY No @ 94.8¢ | $18.8k | called |
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<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0x7907fd8120c847bdc93a501727487ebc9216e590"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0x7907fd8120c847bdc93a501727487ebc9216e590.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x7907fd…