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What this means. A wallet put $30.9k on France, at a price that gave it a 67% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.0 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$30.9k
BUY France @ 67¢ · 46,165 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10k3 fills in 1hProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet neutralwave23 took France (buy) for $30.9k at an average 67¢. At that price the market implied a 67% chance for that side. The market resolved England, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $30.9k+1
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 67¢ means
67%chance the market gave
−203American odds
$1.00paid per share if France wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 67¢
- Implied odds
- 67.0%
- As American odds
- −203 no vig
- Size
- $30.9k
- Placed
- Jul 18, 11:34 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 18, 17:00 EDT
- Result
- England
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- neutralwave23
- Tx
- 0x823ebc79…
This wallet's graded record
13/20+0.0 pts
expected 13.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -67 ptsFrance price · entry 67¢ · resolved England
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $19.4k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $213.9k 4.1× usual |
excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW SELL England @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |