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What this means. A wallet put $11.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 6% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 18 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.7k
BUY Yes @ 6¢ · 195,686 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet NS13 took Yes (buy) for $11.7k at an average 6¢. At that price the market implied a 6% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 6¢ means
6%chance the market gave
+1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 6¢
- Implied odds
- 6.0%
- As American odds
- +1567 no vig
- Size
- $11.7k
- Placed
- Jul 08, 06:41 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 11, 22:58 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- NS13
- Tx
- 0x80b224f4…
This wallet's graded record
9/18-0.2 pts
expected 9.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -6 ptsYes price · entry 6¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $150.3k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ | $90.0k | excluded |