← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $12.8k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.8k
BUY Alcaraz @ 98.4¢ · 12,999 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet FelipeDiniz took Alcaraz (buy) for $12.8k at an average 98.4¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.8k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−6034American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.4¢
- Implied odds
- 98.4%
- As American odds
- −6034 no vig
- Size
- $12.8k
- Placed
- Feb 20, 13:27 EST
- Market close
- Feb 20, 11:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- FelipeDiniz
- Tx
- 0x7e1190f6…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-76.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 99.6¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 98¢ | $19.6k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 98¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 85¢ | $42.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |