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What this means. A wallet put $19.6k on Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.6k
BUY Alcaraz @ 98¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet one8tyfive took Alcaraz (buy) for $19.6k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved Alcaraz. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.6k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4898American odds
$1.00paid per share if Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- As American odds
- −4898 no vig
- Size
- $19.6k
- Placed
- Feb 20, 13:04 EST
- Market close
- Feb 20, 11:30 EST
- Result
- Alcaraz
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- one8tyfive
- Tx
- 0x40b78b35…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+12.4 pts
expected 11.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW SELL Alcaraz @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 99.6¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 98.4¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 98¢ | $25.9k | excluded |
| Qatar Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev | LOW BUY Alcaraz @ 85¢ | $42.5k 2.7× usual |
excluded |