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What this means. A wallet put $17.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?called
$17.4k
SELL Yes @ 22¢ · 79,324 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0x9c27…d050 took Yes (sell) for $17.4k at an average 22¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $17.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
22¢
Implied odds
78.0%
Size
$17.4k
Placed
Mar 10, 13:07 EDT
Market close
Jun 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0x9c27…d050
Tx
0x7c991783…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+17.1 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.3k0% 0xad2f…d8c6 NEW116d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege117d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% shibagege118d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% kevtp119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $15.0k0% KazLC119d agoexcluded
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $29.9k0% HongKongMenace119d agoexcluded