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What this means. A wallet put $24.2k on Under, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5excluded
$24.2k
BUY Under @ 51¢ · 47,442 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet NorthBalticMan9 took Under (buy) for $24.2k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Over. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.2k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Under wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
51¢
Implied odds
51.0%
As American odds
−104 no vig
Size
$24.2k
Placed
Mar 01, 07:03 EST
Market close
Mar 01, 08:00 EST
Result
Over
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
NorthBalticMan9
Tx
0x7be855b1…
This wallet's graded record
2/7-24.1 pts
expected 3.7 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -51 pts
Under price · entry 51¢ · resolved Over
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 51¢ · $24.2k WHALE $24.2K @ 51¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5MED BUY Under @ 52¢ $40.8k52% huhaoli237d agoexcluded
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 51¢ $20.4k51% 0x1b4d…e246237d agoexcluded
Elche CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ $46.1k50% SemyonMarmeladov237d agoexcluded